Department of Chemical Engineering and Applied Chemistry, University of Toronto, Canada
Research Article
The Chakraborty-Galatro (CG) Equation: A Probabilistic Approach to
Predict Doctoral Success Likelihood
Author(s): Sourojeet Chakraborty*
Doctoral attrition (DA) is a phenomenon of graduate students choosing to discontinue graduate studies and is
universally encountered across all academic disciplines. Key parameters that are typically perceived as valuable by
Ph.D. students are identified from a systematic literature review; and the Chakraborty-Galatro probabilistic equation
is formulated to predict the likelihood of a successful Ph.D. experience, called the Doctoral Success Likelihood
(DSL), thus minimizing; possibly eliminating DA. Our model provides prospective/novice graduates with a novel
framework to self-assess and predict the success likelihood of their Ph.D. journey. Such a framework enables the
graduate student to judiciously self-assess and make a rationally informed decision about their career, rather than
taking a blind leap of faith. Our equation also accommodates force majeure circum.. View More»
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